Citing efforts by various groups to maintain control on Shingal, Jamestown Institute said that it is difficult to fully implement the agreement over the Iraqi central government controlling the Shingal region.
In an analysis, the Jamestown Institute examines the agreement between the Iraqi central government and the Kurdistan Regional Government on the future of the Yazidi region of Shingal in the Kurdistan Region. The analysis notes that various actors with conflicting interests have an impact on the future of the agreement, but in any case, full implementation of the agreement seems difficult.
According to the James Town Institute, Turkey is happier with the implementation of this agreement because under this agreement, the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) forces and its affiliated fighters will lose control of Shingal, and given that Turkey considers the PKK a threat to its existence, the Kurdish group's withdrawal from Shingal will be in Ankara interest.
The institute noted that the US occupation of Iraq in 2003 gave the ruling Iraqi Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) control of the region, but that the ISIS attack on Shingal in 2014 and the negligence of KRG and the pro-KDP forces in the face of ISIS's attack on Yazidis, and PKK's support for Yazidis against ISIS drastically reduced Erbil and Iraqi Kurdistan Democratic Party's influence in Shingal, but PKK support for Yazidis in the region's boosted the Kurdish group's position in Shingal.
The Jamestown magazine has hailed the position of the new US administration, led by Joe Biden, on the Shingal agreement, but stressed that it would jeopardize the interests of some actors in the region and reduce their influence. On the other hand, Shingal is a strategic region between Iraq and Syria and thereby the full implementation of the agreement seems difficult.
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